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The Diesel Problem Overview

Diesel trucks are just 3% of the vehicles on our roads, but they generate a third of toxic emissions, triggering health crises and climate disasters.
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Volvo & Daimler Overview

With sales in over 100 countries and billion-dollar profits, Volvo and Daimler have the power to lead the truck industry’s clean transition. But they’re not moving fast enough.
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Idle Giants Report: Behind the Curve

This report by Idle Giants finds that legacy heavy-duty truck manufacturers—specifically Daimler Truck, TRATON, and Volvo Group—are currently failing to secure their competitive futures by pursuing low-volume, high-price strategies for electric trucks. Established manufacturers have the financial strength and engineering expertise to compete, but their current strategies are narrowing their path to doing so. In particular, how they price and invest in electric trucks is limiting their ability to build necessary scale, while their policy advocacy is undermining government support that could help them achieve it.

04.07.2026
Idle Giants Report: Behind the Curve

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April 7, 2026

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Report
Trucking’s Tipping Point

Trucking’s Tipping Point

Heavy-duty transport has long been considered as one of the hardest sectors to electrify. Carbon Tracker’s analysis finds that this assumption is increasingly at odds with the economics of commercial freight. Falling battery costs, manufacturing scale and improving operating economics are bringing battery-electric trucks towards total cost of ownership (TCO) parity with diesel across major markets, with key tipping points expected by the early 2030s. Once parity is reached, adoption is unlikely to proceed gradually. The analysis indicates that electric truck sales can accelerate rapidly along a non-linear S-curve, creating transition risks for manufacturers with large exposures to internal combustion technology and opportunities for companies better positioned for an increasingly electric market. China provides an early indication of the speed at which this transition can unfold. Battery-electric trucks accounted for more than 30% of Chinese heavy-duty truck sales in 2025, up from around 1% in 2021, demonstrating how quickly market share can shift once commercial economics become favourable. Read the full report on Carbon Tracker's website.
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Data
Upfront Pricing of eHGVs: Risks and Opportunities for Electric Truck Uptake

Upfront Pricing of eHGVs: Risks and Opportunities for Electric Truck Uptake

ERM finds that the price gap between electric and non-electric trucks sold by Europe’s largest manufacturers (Volvo Group, Daimler Truck, DAF, MAN and Scania) cannot be explained by manufacturing costs alone. While electric truck components are more expensive, the report shows that the other costs added to the final price are roughly twice as high as on non-electric models, even though they are structurally similar.

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Analysis
Brazil: Leapfrog to electric

Brazil: Leapfrog to electric

Accelerated electric vehicle (EV) adoption in Brazil could save up to US$¼ trillion (R$ 1.39 trillion) in cumulative fossil fuel import costs through 2050, reduce deaths from pollution, and avoid at least US$75 billion in climate damages.

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